Tuesday, 17 November 2015

V-Talks: BWC 2015's Regional Results Collated.

All Regionals are concluded and that means all possible data is also collected (where possible)

We have a clear top 3, but the fight for the second spot came down to TIE between Aqua and Royals, this showing that while Royal Paladin had a later entry into the meta this season with Regalie, once they got it they stormed right on through and past Aqua Force to take the position of second best deck of the format. However, Aqua Force reappeared late-season and it's users scored enough tops to tie the two clans. According to the meta-data at least.

Link to provide the information in a spreadsheet form. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1rGZ3JeWhbjDMPptNxrHguN3txTVc3n3MaKIk5sYMSqg/edit?usp=sharing

No surprise with the Shadow dominance taking over 25% of the 152 recorded tops. I believe all but 2 of those tops, maybe only one, are Revengers This despite the clan only having a approximate mean average meta saturation of 12.945% and even then not all of that is going to be Revengers. Probably about two thirds of it would be Revengers as that is the predominately played build but that's just speculation at this point. Bottom line here is a deck that makes up most likely an average of less than 10% of the meta, took 25% (26.97%) of the tops for this season's Regionals.

You may notice the chart is in a certain order with highest ranking first and then going downwards from there, in the case of ties, the order in in nation then clan order and on this chart there are certain things as we'd expect but also many that come as a surprise.

Link Joker only having 5 breaks is lower than anticipated for the clan.

Bermuda Triangle scoring more seeded placements than Nova Grappler reflects how the latter of the two quickly fell out of favour in meta play within a meta that has proven to be more rearguard reliant, but as such this also makes control decks much more effective, Bermuda Triangle succeeds where Nova Grappler failed because of their mechanic allowing offence to be be followed by a strong defence while also denying control decks of their targets. The only real enemies to Bermuda Triangle's mechanic are the two strides Conquest and Diablo the former is for Narukami, and the latter is infamously Shadow Paladin.

One clan that surprised everyone with it's single top is Murakumo, this is considered to be a statistical outlier and the situations behind it's ability to top remain unknown, supporters of the clan took the result as vindication that the clan was viable, and yet the lone top would be the only one the clan would get the entire season. The issue here is that Murakumo is inherently flawed by design. Their ability to Shadow Clone could have been improved so much by G support, but they where just not given the tools they needed to come out of the trash.

Genesis is another case of a clan that should have done better but just didn't make the cut this time.

Gear Chronicle started to get some results towards the latter end of the season but struggled in general due to a strategy that has become a core component of the meta-game. Grade Stalling. This is perhaps the most controversial strategy in the game at this time but it is a vital skill to be able to both utilise it and play against it if you want to succeed at the current meta game.

Many decks, even if running GB1 support have been falling back on older aces as their Grade 3 rides so that they still have active bosses even in situations where the opponent is refusing ascend first. This shift towards Legacy units and in many cases combining legacy and new support where possible, has also made competing at a competitively viable level more expensive than previous years, again this being on a mean average, this isn't helped by Bushiroad themselves either due the way of their current card design for your ace strides which most, if not all, decks needed in this format to be viable, this incurred higher values for car cards on the secondary market. I'll link an older post here since it's relevant. http://bvdecker-vanguard.blogspot.co.uk/2015/10/v-rant-persona-rrr-and-now-gr.html

Being frank, due to the current limited stride pool, while main decks may differ, all decks within a clan have generally been using the same finishers, with exception to when Fighter's Collection 15 bought a design mistake yet these "mistakes" were welcomed by loyalists and collectors, for example, in my case, I've Sanctuary Guard Dragon for a long time and gone through SoLGD, SGD/Altmile and then the latest build post Regalie is pure SG focused, while still keeping an Altmile Tech option. But because I had the older cards that Regalie supported, the rest was cheap and east too accomplish.

Getting back on topic to the meta chart, as with a previous version I compiled, unsure if published on the blog though, the top 3 clans, according to the data gathered, being Shadow Paladin, Royal Paladin, and Aqua Force make up just under half of the tops, this of course having the majority held by Shadow Paladin, adding in Kagero then makes the chart go past the 50% mark.

On which note, Kagero sort of faded this season, despite being present quite a bit in the Spring Fest season, the majority of the Kagero Players from last season seemingly favouring and piloting Revengers or Sanctuary Guard this year. Again speculation in accordance to the numerical evidence.

It has often been accused that we are in a stale meta, but the diversity of the tops I would argue disproves that argument, of course we have our top trinity but they have been far from ruling with an iron fist, well except may Shadow Paladin. But look at the graph and all those clans that have broken into 1 or more top spots. And even then the most used deck, still only accounts for 13% of the meta in use today so one thing is certain the meta can't be criticised for being stale. However it can be called the worst and a point of destabilisation.

One mention I want to take time to note is the winner of this year's UK Regional, what we call over here out Nationals. Héléne Bourree was last year's French regional 2nd place runner up, and is themselves from France, I pray you are well following the bloody events on Friday. As a person I offer my support to France, As a cardfighter, I offer you support in the continentals as the victor of the UK Nationals and therefore joint representative of your home nation and the UK.

The latest set to release (this coming Friday) Vanguard and Deletor won't have any impact on the meta going into continentals, but it's possible the World Finals might be flooded, excuse the pun, I know it's bad.